Macron’s Gambit: Will France Recognize Palestine at UN Summit?

A significant diplomatic gambit is expected from French President Emmanuel Macron, with speculation rife that France will formally recognize Palestine at the upcoming UN-backed summit in New York. This potential move is part of a broader international push to accelerate a two-state solution, with France actively lobbying Western nations, including Australia, to join.
The summit, co-chaired by France and Saudi Arabia from June 17 to 20, is viewed as a critical opportunity to inject new momentum into the stalled Middle East peace process. While 147 of the 193 UN member states already recognize Palestine, Australia, the UK, and the US have not. However, Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong’s recent statements suggest a potential shift in Australia’s long-held position, indicating that recognition could now be seen as a momentum-building tool.
The French Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirmed its engagement with international partners, including Australia, on its four key priorities for the summit: recognition of a state of Palestine, normalization of regional relations, reform of the Palestinian Authority, and disarmament of Hamas. A French spokesperson stated that Macron hopes this recognition would integrate into a broader political dynamic, facilitating both the establishment of a Palestinian state and Israel’s enhanced regional and international integration, and specifically noted Australia’s strong commitment to these aims.
Adding to the speculation of a policy shift, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese recently delivered his strongest condemnation yet of Israel’s aid blockade in Gaza, labeling it an “outrage.” This aligns with the humanitarian concerns driving Macron’s push for a tougher international stance. In contrast, the Australian opposition insists that any recognition of Palestinian statehood must be contingent on the release of all hostages and the surrender of Hamas’s terrorist capabilities, arguing that premature recognition would be “rewarding terrorism.”